Liga Suiza Jor. 8

Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano

Aarau FC Lugano
72 ELO 72
4.1% Tilt -12%
1276º Ranking ELO general 297º
13º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
55.4%
Aarau
23.9%
Empate
20.7%
FC Lugano

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
FC Lugano
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Aarau
+12%
-17%
FC Lugano

Progresión del ELO

Aarau
FC Lugano
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 ago. 1990
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
71%
18%
11%
72 81 9 0
18 ago. 1990
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
58%
24%
18%
72 76 4 0
11 ago. 1990
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
Luzern
FCL
45%
26%
30%
72 77 5 0
08 ago. 1990
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
58%
24%
19%
72 73 1 0
04 ago. 1990
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Servette
SER
45%
24%
31%
72 73 1 0

Partidos

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 ago. 1990
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Sion
SIO
50%
26%
24%
72 74 2 0
18 ago. 1990
FCW
FC Wettingen
0 - 4
FC Lugano
LUG
50%
26%
23%
71 73 2 +1
11 ago. 1990
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Servette
SER
46%
25%
29%
71 73 2 0
08 ago. 1990
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
55%
24%
21%
71 71 0 0
04 ago. 1990
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
45%
26%
28%
71 77 6 0