Análisis Aarau vs Luzern
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2003 |
FCV
3 - 6
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 0
DEL
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2003 |
KRI
1 - 4
FCA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2003 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2003 |
FCL
5 - 0
DEL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2003 |
KRI
3 - 3
FCL
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2003 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCV
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2003 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
54%
23%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2003 |
SIO
0 - 1
FCL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |