Liga Suiza Jor. 17

Análisis Aarau vs Luzern

Aarau Luzern
71 ELO 78
12.9% Tilt 17.1%
729º Ranking ELO general 274º
15º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
33.1%
Aarau
23.8%
Empate
43.1%
Luzern

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Luzern
1.65
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Aarau
Luzern
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 nov. 2014
BAS
Basel
3 - 0
Aarau
FCA
62%
22%
16%
73 84 11 0
09 nov. 2014
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
27%
24%
49%
73 82 9 0
02 nov. 2014
SIO
Sion
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
46%
26%
28%
74 79 5 -1
29 oct. 2014
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
49%
25%
26%
71 77 6 +3
25 oct. 2014
THU
Thun
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
58%
22%
20%
71 79 8 0

Partidos

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 nov. 2014
GCZ
Grasshopper
3 - 2
Luzern
FCL
42%
25%
33%
78 80 2 0
08 nov. 2014
FCL
Luzern
0 - 0
Thun
THU
41%
28%
32%
79 80 1 -1
01 nov. 2014
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 3
Luzern
FCL
50%
25%
25%
76 82 6 +3
29 oct. 2014
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
49%
25%
26%
77 71 6 -1
19 oct. 2014
FCL
Luzern
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
53%
25%
22%
78 71 7 -1