Análisis Aarau vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 1
YOB
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCA
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
FCA
3 - 0
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
SER
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
GCZ
2 - 3
THU
77%
15%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
STG
2 - 1
THU
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
THU
2 - 3
NEX
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |