Análisis Aarau vs Zurich
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1996 |
BIF
5 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1996 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 ago. 1996 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1996 |
FCL
3 - 0
ZUR
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1996 |
YOB
1 - 2
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 1996 |
LAU
3 - 2
ZUR
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 1996 |
ZUR
0 - 1
NEX
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |