Análisis FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.64
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 1973 |
SGD
1 - 3
CZJ
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1973 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ROS
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1973 |
MAG
3 - 0
CZJ
46%
25%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1973 |
CZJ
1 - 0
RCH
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1973 |
CZJ
5 - 1
CHL
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 1973 |
ROS
3 - 0
ERF
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 1
CHL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1973 |
CHE
2 - 1
ERF
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1973 |
ERF
4 - 0
BSG
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 1973 |
BWA
0 - 0
ERF
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |