Análisis Twente vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2003 |
TWE
3 - 0
GRA
60%
23%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2003 |
TWE
0 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 1
RKC
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 0
TWE
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |