Análisis Fénix vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
25%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+38%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 0
FEN
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2010 |
FEN
0 - 1
ETS
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 2
FEN
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2010 |
BVS
0 - 0
FEN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2010 |
LFC
2 - 1
FEN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 2
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
44%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |