Análisis Flamengo vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
FLA
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 0
RPO
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
FLA
4 - 1
AME
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
FLA
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 0
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 3
DEF
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |