Carioca Copa Guanabara. Jor. 9

Análisis Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama

Flamengo Vasco da Gama
88 ELO 75
13.3% Tilt 9.6%
48º Ranking ELO general 200º
Ranking ELO país 23º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
84.2%
Flamengo
11.1%
Empate
4.7%
Vasco da Gama

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.2%
Probabilidad gana
Flamengo
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.1%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.7%
Probabilidad gana
Vasco da Gama
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Flamengo
+4%
+16%
Vasco da Gama

Progresión del ELO

Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 abr. 2021
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
54%
23%
23%
89 88 1 0
06 abr. 2021
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 5
Flamengo
FLA
4%
16%
80%
88 48 40 +1
01 abr. 2021
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 0
Bangu
BAN
88%
9%
3%
88 45 43 0
28 mar. 2021
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
6%
16%
78%
89 53 36 -1
25 mar. 2021
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
7%
17%
76%
88 69 19 +1

Partidos

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 abr. 2021
TOM
Tombense
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
27%
27%
46%
73 61 12 0
04 abr. 2021
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 2
Bangu
BAN
82%
14%
4%
73 45 28 0
31 mar. 2021
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
62%
23%
16%
73 81 8 0
27 mar. 2021
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 2
Madureira RJ
MAD
80%
15%
6%
73 48 25 0
24 mar. 2021
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
83%
13%
4%
73 41 32 0
X