Copa Libertadores . Octavos
Global 3-0
Análisis Fluminense vs Cerro Porteño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 0
CRI
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 1
FLU
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 jul. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLU
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 2
FLU
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
CCP
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 2
CCP
24%
23%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 jul. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2021 |
LQE
0 - 0
CCP
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 jul. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 2
FLU
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |