Análisis Fortaleza EC vs XV de Piracicaba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2002 |
FOR
4 - 1
CRI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2002 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 0
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2002 |
JEC
1 - 3
FOR
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2002 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2002 |
XVD
1 - 0
SPO
13%
24%
63%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2002 |
AME
6 - 1
XVD
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2002 |
XVD
3 - 1
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2002 |
XVD
1 - 2
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 0
XVD
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |