Análisis Gran Peña vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
-47%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 3
POR
33%
25%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
CAM
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 1
RAP
54%
24%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
SDN
0 - 0
CHO
23%
25%
51%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHO
44%
26%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |