Análisis Grêmio vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.29
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 1997 |
FOR
2 - 3
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1997 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
GRE
32%
26%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 4
GRE
19%
24%
58%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1997 |
CRZ
1 - 2
GRE
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 4
GRE
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1997 |
ALI
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |