Fase Previa Copa Libertadores Fase 2. Final
Global 8-2
Análisis Grêmio vs Ayacucho FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
75.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.46
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 1
BRA
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
GRE
30%
27%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATP
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 4
SPC
29%
23%
48%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 1
AYA
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 0
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2020 |
SBO
0 - 1
AYA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |