Análisis Guaraní vs 3 de Febrero
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2008 |
12O
0 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
2DE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 5
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 4
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2008 |
PET
0 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
AME
2 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 0
12O
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |