Análisis Guaratinguetá vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
20.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56%
Probabilidad gana
1.75
Goles esperados
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
TOM
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 2016 |
BOT
6 - 2
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2016 |
YPI
3 - 2
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOG
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jul. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 jun. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
YPI
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |