Análisis Heracles vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2016 |
HER
0 - 1
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 ago. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 1
HER
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 3
AJA
14%
22%
63%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2016 |
FCR
4 - 1
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |