Análisis Heracles vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 1996 |
VVV
1 - 1
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1996 |
HER
4 - 0
TEL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 nov. 1996 |
HER
2 - 1
ZWO
40%
25%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1996 |
RBC
0 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1996 |
BOS
3 - 2
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1996 |
FCO
4 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 1996 |
EIN
1 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1996 |
EXC
2 - 1
ADO
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 3
BVV
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |