Análisis Heracles vs PEC Zwolle
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2012 |
TWE
3 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 2
HER
21%
23%
57%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Partidos
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 3
ZWO
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2012 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AZA
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 0
VVV
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 2
ZWO
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |