Análisis Heracles vs PSV
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2007 |
RKC
2 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2007 |
SCH
5 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2007 |
HER
0 - 0
NEC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 3
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
PSV
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2007 |
PSV
3 - 2
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2007 |
PSV
3 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |