Análisis Hercílio Luz vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
21.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.61
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
FER
47%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
HER
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
AIM
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 5
HER
23%
31%
46%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRB
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2023 |
PPE
0 - 1
AVA
38%
30%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |