Análisis Hércules vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 1
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 0
ALA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 2
HER
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 2
NUM
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2014 |
NUM
1 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
SAB
0 - 0
NUM
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
NUM
3 - 0
CCF
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |