Análisis Hércules vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
LLE
5 - 1
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
HER
2 - 2
BAR
68%
17%
14%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
MAL
47%
23%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1954 |
LLE
2 - 2
RJA
52%
21%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 1
OSA
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 2
RJA
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 0
DEP
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
OVI
2 - 2
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |