Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
Análisis Hércules vs AD Torrejón CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
78.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.9%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 1980 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1980 |
TRJ
1 - 2
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 1
HER
51%
28%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1979 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1979 |
ESP
0 - 0
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
AD Torrejón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 1980 |
TRJ
2 - 0
UPL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1980 |
TRJ
1 - 2
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 1980 |
SPB
3 - 0
TRJ
32%
33%
35%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 dic. 1979 |
TRJ
3 - 1
CDG
83%
13%
5%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1979 |
TRJ
5 - 1
CDT
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |