Análisis Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2000 |
GAN
1 - 1
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2000 |
HER
1 - 0
LOR
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 1
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 ene. 2000 |
HER
1 - 2
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 ene. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
CEP
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2000 |
VAL
0 - 0
CEP
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2000 |
ONT
5 - 5
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 2
TER
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 2
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2000 |
VAL
3 - 2
FCB
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |