Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Santa Amalia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
25.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52%
Probabilidad gana
1.87
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2021 |
HER
4 - 2
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2020 |
GIM
4 - 5
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 dic. 2020 |
HER
4 - 1
OLY
39%
24%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2020 |
MON
0 - 3
HER
68%
17%
14%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 4
GUA
18%
21%
61%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 2
SAM
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 3
SAM
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 0
ZAL
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2020 |
GIM
2 - 3
SAM
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 2
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |