Análisis Honduras vs Guatemala
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.65
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2004 |
CAN
1 - 1
HND
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 5
HND
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 4
HND
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 jul. 2004 |
HND
0 - 0
PAN
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
HND
4 - 0
ANT
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2004 |
GTM
2 - 1
CRI
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 2
GTM
47%
28%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2004 |
GTM
4 - 1
TTO
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 ago. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 2
GTM
37%
27%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 1
GTM
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |