Liga Profesional Argentina Semifinal
Global 4-6
Análisis Independiente vs River Plate
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Probabilidad gana
1
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 1979 |
RIV
4 - 3
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 1979 |
IND
2 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 1979 |
EST
1 - 3
IND
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 1979 |
IND
2 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 1979 |
RIV
4 - 3
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 1979 |
RIV
1 - 1
NOB
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 1979 |
PLA
1 - 2
RIV
29%
29%
43%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 1979 |
RIV
1 - 0
ARG
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 jun. 1979 |
RAC
3 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |