Fase Previa Copa Libertadores Fase 3. Final
Global 4-2
Análisis Junior vs Bolívar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 0
JUN
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUN
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2021 |
JUN
0 - 0
AGU
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 2
JUN
19%
26%
54%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
SFE
43%
28%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
IND
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUN
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
BLO
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
RPO
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2021 |
BOL
5 - 0
MWA
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |