Análisis Lens vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2000 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEN
37%
27%
37%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2000 |
LEN
4 - 0
LHA
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2000 |
BRC
2 - 1
LEN
7%
19%
74%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2000 |
SED
0 - 0
LEN
38%
27%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2000 |
BAS
4 - 0
ASS
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2000 |
LHA
2 - 2
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
SED
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2000 |
OLY
1 - 0
BAS
4%
16%
80%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |