Análisis Libertad vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 3
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2005 |
LIB
4 - 1
12O
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 0
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 1
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |