Análisis Lille vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
15.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 0
LIL
56%
26%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MPL
48%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
40%
30%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 4
LYO
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
GIR
1 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
REN
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 sep. 2003 |
STR
3 - 2
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |