Análisis Loja vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 2012 |
ECI
2 - 1
LOJ
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ALB
20%
26%
54%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2012 |
EFE
2 - 2
LOJ
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 1
LOJ
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 nov. 2012 |
LOJ
7 - 0
EFE
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 4
ALB
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 1
LUC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |