Análisis LONGA '30 vs Alcides
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.5
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+59%
-62%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
LON
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2016 |
LON
2 - 0
TUB
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 7
LON
56%
21%
24%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 oct. 2016 |
LON
2 - 1
RIG
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2016 |
BVC
1 - 0
LON
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2016 |
ALC
5 - 0
TVC
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2016 |
DEZ
1 - 0
ALC
52%
21%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
STE
45%
24%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
QUI
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |