Análisis Lucena vs Ayamonte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 dic. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 4
LUC
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 3
CRD
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 4
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 2001 |
MON
0 - 0
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2001 |
LUC
0 - 1
VVA
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 dic. 2001 |
AYA
1 - 0
MON
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2001 |
VVA
4 - 0
AYA
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 dic. 2001 |
AYA
1 - 1
JER
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 2001 |
RLI
1 - 2
AYA
22%
26%
53%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2001 |
AYA
0 - 1
UDT
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |