Análisis Lucena vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
29.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.06
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 1
LUC
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
UCA
33%
29%
38%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
LUC
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ROD
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2015 |
MEL
5 - 1
BAL
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 2
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
SRQ
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
SEV
0 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |