Quinta Suiza Jor. 5

Análisis Lugano II vs Hergiswil

Lugano II Hergiswil
28 ELO 28
4.1% Tilt -3.6%
4061º Ranking ELO general 11654º
42º Ranking ELO país 198º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
41.8%
Lugano II
22%
Empate
36.3%
Hergiswil

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Lugano II
1.86
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Hergiswil
1.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Lugano II
Hergiswil
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 sep. 2018
NOV
Novazzano
1 - 1
Lugano II
LUG
26%
22%
53%
27 21 6 0
25 ago. 2018
IBA
Ibach
0 - 2
Lugano II
LUG
36%
25%
40%
26 24 2 +1
18 ago. 2018
LUG
Lugano II
3 - 1
Taverne
TAV
45%
23%
33%
25 27 2 +1
11 ago. 2018
PER
Perlen-Buchrain
3 - 3
Lugano II
LUG
32%
22%
46%
25 21 4 0
09 jun. 2018
LUG
Lugano II
2 - 3
Taverne
TAV
53%
22%
25%
26 26 0 -1

Partidos

Hergiswil
Hergiswil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 sep. 2018
HER
Hergiswil
1 - 1
Ibach
IBA
71%
17%
12%
29 23 6 0
25 ago. 2018
TAV
Taverne
5 - 1
Hergiswil
HER
28%
22%
50%
31 26 5 -2
18 ago. 2018
HER
Hergiswil
1 - 3
Perlen-Buchrain
PER
81%
12%
7%
32 21 11 -1
10 ago. 2018
FCS
FC Sursee
4 - 0
Hergiswil
HER
25%
21%
54%
35 27 8 -3
09 jun. 2018
HER
Hergiswil
3 - 1
Sarnen
SAR
84%
11%
5%
35 20 15 0