Segunda Suiza Jor. 12

Análisis FC Lugano vs Baden

FC Lugano Baden
80 ELO 58
-14.3% Tilt 9.6%
319º Ranking ELO general 4567º
Ranking ELO país 51º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
70.5%
FC Lugano
19.3%
Empate
10.3%
Baden

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
FC Lugano
2.02
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Baden
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
FC Lugano
-18%
+5%
Baden

Progresión del ELO

FC Lugano
Baden
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 sep. 2002
WIN
Winterthur
0 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
24%
24%
52%
80 62 18 0
01 sep. 2002
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
54%
24%
22%
80 73 7 0
29 ago. 2002
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 0
Ventspils
VEN
49%
26%
26%
80 78 2 0
24 ago. 2002
SCH
Schaffhausen
0 - 4
FC Lugano
LUG
20%
23%
57%
80 60 20 0
18 ago. 2002
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
75%
17%
8%
80 63 17 0

Partidos

Baden
Baden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 sep. 2002
BEL
AC Bellinzona
3 - 0
Baden
BAD
62%
21%
17%
59 65 6 0
31 ago. 2002
BAD
Baden
1 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
43%
25%
31%
59 62 3 0
24 ago. 2002
CON
Concordia Basel
2 - 1
Baden
BAD
39%
24%
37%
59 55 4 0
17 ago. 2002
BAD
Baden
0 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
26%
25%
49%
60 73 13 -1
10 ago. 2002
SCH
Schaffhausen
2 - 2
Baden
BAD
48%
24%
28%
60 60 0 0