Análisis FC Lugano vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2008 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 0
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 nov. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
LUG
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 0
SCH
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
LAC
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
SER
4 - 1
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 nov. 2008 |
THU
2 - 1
LOC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2008 |
BIE
3 - 2
THU
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |