Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-0
Análisis CD Lugo vs CD Mensajero
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
76.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.22
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7%
Probabilidad gana
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1991 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1991 |
CDM
0 - 2
LUG
42%
29%
29%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 sep. 1991 |
TUD
0 - 0
LUG
29%
34%
37%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 sep. 1991 |
LUG
2 - 2
RCF
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1991 |
LUG
2 - 1
CDO
57%
27%
15%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1991 |
CDM
5 - 0
IGA
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1991 |
CDM
0 - 2
LUG
42%
29%
29%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 1991 |
CDM
0 - 2
GAL
81%
13%
5%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 sep. 1991 |
CDM
2 - 1
REA
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 1991 |
REA
2 - 0
CDM
52%
26%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |