Análisis Luzern vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
26.6%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 1991 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1991 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1991 |
SER
6 - 3
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1991 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1991 |
FCW
1 - 1
FCL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 4
YOB
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1991 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1991 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1991 |
NEX
1 - 0
FCA
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUR
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |