Liga Suiza Temporada Regular Jor. 21

Análisis Luzern vs Aarau

Luzern Aarau
75 ELO 76
7.9% Tilt 16.3%
507º Ranking ELO general 1277º
Ranking ELO país 13º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
48.5%
Luzern
24.3%
Empate
27.2%
Aarau

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Luzern
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Luzern
-8%
+13%
Aarau

Progresión del ELO

Luzern
Aarau
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 nov. 2002
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
67%
18%
15%
75 81 6 0
17 nov. 2002
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Basel
BAS
20%
22%
58%
74 88 14 +1
09 nov. 2002
FCZ
FC Zurich II
0 - 2
Luzern
FCL
13%
18%
70%
74 58 16 0
03 nov. 2002
GCZ
Grasshopper
3 - 2
Luzern
FCL
80%
13%
7%
75 88 13 -1
27 oct. 2002
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
Thun
THU
43%
25%
32%
75 79 4 0

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 nov. 2002
FCA
Aarau
0 - 3
Servette
SER
24%
23%
53%
77 85 8 0
16 nov. 2002
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
59%
23%
18%
76 82 6 +1
10 nov. 2002
BAD
Baden
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
31%
25%
44%
77 67 10 -1
02 nov. 2002
FCA
Aarau
3 - 0
Delemont
DEL
49%
25%
26%
77 76 1 0
27 oct. 2002
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
65%
20%
16%
77 83 6 0