Análisis Malí vs Guinea Ecuatorial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Malí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
MRT
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 1
MLI
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 3
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Guinea Ecuatorial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2022 |
SLE
0 - 1
GNQ
31%
26%
42%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2022 |
DZA
0 - 1
GNQ
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 ene. 2022 |
GNQ
0 - 1
CIV
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2021 |
MRT
1 - 1
GNQ
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2021 |
GNQ
1 - 0
TUN
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |