Análisis Manchester City vs Arsenal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
16%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.89
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2004 |
MAC
7 - 1
BAR
82%
12%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 2
MAC
25%
25%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
MAC
4 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2004 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 0
PSV
69%
18%
13%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
FUL
0 - 3
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 4
ARS
9%
20%
71%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 0
BBU
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | +1 |