Análisis Manchester City vs Aston Villa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 1
BPO
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1961 |
WHU
1 - 1
MAC
57%
19%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHL
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1961 |
WOL
1 - 0
MAC
82%
11%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 1
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1961 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1961 |
FUL
1 - 1
ASV
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1961 |
ASV
4 - 0
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |