Análisis Melias vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-73%
-45%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Melias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
MEL
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2008 |
CHO
0 - 0
PON
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1981 |
BOI
0 - 2
CHO
53%
25%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +3 |
| 17 may. 1981 |
CHO
3 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 may. 1981 |
CAM
1 - 2
CHO
76%
16%
9%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1981 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARE
51%
26%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |