Análisis Mengibar vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2007 |
MEN
0 - 1
CDT
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
ILI
2 - 0
MEN
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
MEN
4 - 2
CDU
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
EST
4 - 2
MEN
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
MEN
2 - 2
BAE
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
RJA
3 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
ILI
19%
26%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
NER
2 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
CDU
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |