Análisis Mercadal vs Poblense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
BNS
11%
22%
68%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +4 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
FLN
2 - 1
MER
29%
26%
46%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
CLL
1 - 1
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2012 |
PBL
1 - 0
CFP
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 1
PBL
32%
24%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
PBL
0 - 0
SNF
25%
26%
50%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
FRR
0 - 2
PBL
18%
23%
60%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
PBL
0 - 1
PXD
38%
28%
34%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |