Análisis Messancy vs Nothomb-Post
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.2
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.1%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+63%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
MES
17%
19%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2023 |
OPP
2 - 1
MES
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2023 |
MES
0 - 1
RES
62%
18%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
MES
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2023 |
MES
7 - 2
ERE
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Nothomb-Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2023 |
NOP
3 - 5
OPP
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2023 |
RES
6 - 0
NOP
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2023 |
NOP
4 - 1
CHA
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 oct. 2023 |
ERE
2 - 1
NOP
71%
16%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2023 |
NOP
1 - 7
LOR
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |